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Michael

Probability of Meeting

Two friends, Alice and Bob, plan to meet at a café. They agree to arrive between 1:00 PM and 2:00 PM. However, they did not set a specific time to meet; instead, each of them will arrive at a random time within this one-hour window and will wait for 15 minutes for the other. If the other does not arrive within that 15-minute window, the first to arrive will leave. What is the probability that Alice and Bob will meet?

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1 Him Answer

  1. Simple Answer:

    The probability that Alice and Bob meet is 716.

    Step-by-Step Answer:

    1. Define the Problem: The meeting window is from 1:00 PM to 2:00 PM, which is 60 minutes. Both Alice and Bob arrive randomly within this window and wait for 15 minutes.

    2. Consider the Time Range: The only way they fail to meet is if the time difference between their arrival times is more than 15 minutes.

    3. Visualize on a 60×60 Square:

      • Imagine a square plot where one side represents Alice’s arrival time and the other represents Bob’s. The entire square represents all possible combinations of their arrival times within the hour.
      • The square has an area of 60×60=3600 square units, where each unit represents a unique combination of arrival times (in minutes).
    4. Calculate Non-meeting Zones:

      • The non-meeting zones are two triangles where the difference between their arrival times is greater than 15 minutes. Each triangle’s area represents the scenarios where they miss each other.
      • The area of each triangle is 12×45×45=1012.5 square units. The total non-meeting area is 2×1012.5=2025 square units.
    5. Calculate Meeting Probability:

      • Subtract the non-meeting area from the total area to find the meeting area: 36002025=1575 square units.
      • The probability of meeting is the ratio of the meeting area to the total area: 15753600=716.

    Therefore, the step-by-step calculation also shows that the probability of Alice and Bob meeting is 716, confirming the simple answer provided earlier. This approach combines geometric visualization with basic probability principles to solve the problem.